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judgment and decision-making

Why Leading is (Almost) as Important as Winning

Running men
By definition, winning is better than losing. But being in the lead for much of a contest also leaves a surprisingly positive impression on spectators.

Don’t Worry, Your Reputation Is Not at Stake

Panel of 4 Judges Showing Score Cards For Performance
Whether we’re speaking during a work meeting or bringing a dish to a potluck, we often feel like our reputation is at stake. But how much does a particular behavior actually affect how other people judge us?

The Global Self-Judgment Paradox in Student Performance

image of student doing math
Students who perform the best don’t necessarily have the highest levels of self-confidence.

The Illusion of the “Hot Hand” in Basketball – and among Monkeys

Basketball Flying in the Air
Almost everyone believes in the “hot hand” in basketball. But research shows that this belief is wrong. And we are starting to uncover why this illusion is so hard to change.

How Much of This Post Will You Read Before Making Up Your Mind About It?

businessman standing in front of wall of art
Most people will fail to anticipate how quickly they will decide how much they like this blog. And this probably applies to many other judgments.

How to Become a Better Lie Detector: Focus on Feelings

Woman and man with back to one another; woman looking over her shoulder
Do you want to be better at detecting lies? The key is to ask yourself what emotions the other person is feeling.

Emotional People Make More Extreme Judgments

Angry Older woman with smoke coming out of her ears
How strongly you feel your emotions is related to how strongly you judge other people’s bad actions – and lots of other things.

Perceived Scientific Consensus as a Gateway to Bridging the Climate Change Divide

Helicopter view of North Miami Beach condominiums along the ocean

In the United States, climate change is a highly polarizing topic. How can we reduce this political polarization? In our research on attitudes about climate change, we seem to have discovered an answer. When people are reminded that almost all climate scientists believe in climate change, they become much less skeptical about it.